⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs 1 Jarren Duran 6 HRs · 2 Juan Soto 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 5 HRs · 4 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 5 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 6 James Wood 4 HRs · 7 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 8 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 9 Julio Rodríguez 4 HRs · 10 Ketel Marte 4 HRs · 11 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 12 Michael Harris II 4 HRs
Nick Pivetta
Nick Pivetta RHP SD
27 matchups scored · 3 game days
1 HRs Allowed
3.7% HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot Pool + today context
·
HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
3.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
3.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
trend vs full-pool HR rate
Window Matchups Game Days HR HR Rate HR/Game Avg Max EV Avg HR EV Avg HR LA Avg HR Dist Trend
Last 7 18 2 0 0.0% 0.0 93.0mph · · · Down -3.7pp
Last 15 27 3 1 3.7% 0.33 95.1mph 106.0mph 29.0° 403ft Flat +0.0pp
Last 30 27 3 1 3.7% 0.33 95.1mph 106.0mph 29.0° 403ft Flat +0.0pp
Batted-Ball Damage
18 tracked BBE from 27 pool matchups
95.1
106.0
7
0
106.0
29.0°
403
Date Batter Max EV HR EV HR LA HR Dist HR?
2026-04-07 Bryan Reynolds 105.8mph · · · ·
2026-04-01 Dominic Smith 104.7mph · · · ·
2026-03-26 Dillon Dingler 106.0mph 106.0mph 29° 403ft Yes
2026-03-26 Colt Keith 104.0mph · · · ·
2026-03-26 Javier Baez 104.0mph · · · ·
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
3 days · 1 total HRs
HRs Allowed
1 home runs against scored batters
Date Batter Rank Score Stadium EV Angle Dist
2026-03-26 Dillon Dingler #108 35 Petco Park 106.0mph 29.0° 403.0ft
Pitch Arsenal
higher RV = more hittable
Pitch Pitches Usage RV/100 Avg EV Avg LA HRs
Fastball 190 53.7% -0.9 83.1 38.7° 1
Curveball 63 17.8% +3.4 85.8 -2.6° 0
Sweeper 49 13.8% -3.8 76.3 22.9° 0
Cutter 39 11.0% -1.6 78.4 22.7° 0
All Scored Matchups
27 matchups · newest first
Date Batter Rank Score Tier Form HR?
2026-04-07 Nick Gonzales #236 22 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Jared Triolo #233 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Henry Davis #230 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Joey Bart #224 26 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Spencer Horwitz #212 32 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-07 Tommy Pham #203 27 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-04-07 Andrew McCutchen #184 28 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 Bryan Reynolds #132 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-07 Oneil Cruz #77 41 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Patrick Bailey #231 25 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Jung Hoo Lee #230 27 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Tyler Fitzgerald #224 25 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 Dominic Smith #212 27 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Wilmer Flores #187 29 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-01 Heliot Ramos #179 33 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-01 Casey Schmitt #178 35 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-01 Matt Chapman #151 40 ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-01 Willy Adames #145 42 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Gleyber Torres #129 33 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Zach McKinstry #121 36 ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-26 Javier Baez #119 31 ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 Colt Keith #116 36 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-26 Wenceel Perez #111 39 ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-03-26 Dillon Dingler #108 35 ⚪ D 📈 WARM 💥
2026-03-26 Spencer Torkelson #80 46 ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 Kerry Carpenter #70 49 ⚪ D · — ·
2026-03-26 Riley Greene #38 51 🟠 C 📈 WARM ·
LD 3.2.88

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