Nick Pivetta
RHP
SD
1
HRs Allowed
3.7%
HR Rate (Pool)
HR Vulnerability Snapshot
?Pitcher's HR-relevant profile. Red = HR-favorable for batters, blue = HR-resistant. Same vocabulary as batter cards.
Pool + today context
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HR/9 ?Home runs allowed per 9 innings. >1.5 elite-bad (homer-friendly), 1.2–1.5 above avg, <0.9 elite-good (HR-resistant).
·
HR/FB ?Pitcher's HR-per-fly-ball rate. >15% elite homer-prone, 12–15% above avg, <8% homer-resistant. League avg ~12%.
·
Barrel% Allowed ?Percentage of contact against this pitcher classified as barrels (perfect EV+LA). >12% elite-bad, <5% elite-good.
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Hard-Hit% Allowed ?% of batted balls hit ≥95 mph against this pitcher. >45% elite homer-prone, <33% elite homer-resistant.
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FB% ?Fly-ball rate (% of batted balls that are fly balls). >45% extreme fly-ball pitcher — gives up many HRs. <30% ground-ball pitcher — HR-resistant.
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FIP ?Fielding Independent Pitching. >5.0 elite-bad, 4.0–5.0 above avg, <3.5 elite-good. Isolates pitcher's HR/K/BB skill from defense.
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xFIP ?FIP with HR/FB normalised to league average. Better predictor of FUTURE HR rate than FIP.
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FIP − xFIP ?Positive gap = pitcher has been UNLUCKY with HRs (regression coming). Negative = lucky (regression up). >+0.5 elite regression candidate.
3.7%
Pool HR Rate ?% of LongDong scored matchups against this pitcher that resulted in a HR. Internal benchmark.
27
Pool Matchups
1
HRs Allowed (Pool)
0
Top-15 Matchups
0
HRs to Top-15
3.7%
HR Rate
Recent HR Splits
| Window | Matchups | Game Days | HR | HR Rate | HR/Game | Avg Max EV | Avg HR EV | Avg HR LA | Avg HR Dist | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0 | 93.0mph | · | · | · | Down -3.7pp |
| Last 15 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3.7% | 0.33 | 95.1mph | 106.0mph | 29.0° | 403ft | Flat +0.0pp |
| Last 30 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 3.7% | 0.33 | 95.1mph | 106.0mph | 29.0° | 403ft | Flat +0.0pp |
Batted-Ball Damage
95.1
Avg Max EV
106.0
Max EV Allowed
7
Hard-Hit Proxy · 38.9%
0
Barrel Flags · 0.0%
106.0
Avg HR EV
29.0°
Avg HR Launch
403
Avg HR Distance
| Date | Batter | Max EV | HR EV | HR LA | HR Dist | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Bryan Reynolds | 105.8mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Dominic Smith | 104.7mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Dillon Dingler | 106.0mph | 106.0mph | 29° | 403ft | Yes |
| 2026-03-26 | Colt Keith | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Javier Baez | 104.0mph | · | · | · | · |
HRs Allowed Per Game Day
HRs Allowed
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Stadium | EV | Angle | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | Dillon Dingler | #108 | 35 | Petco Park | 106.0mph | 29.0° | 403.0ft |
Pitch Arsenal
| Pitch | Pitches | Usage | RV/100 | Avg EV | Avg LA | HRs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fastball | 190 | 53.7% | -0.9 | 83.1 | 38.7° | 1 |
| Curveball | 63 | 17.8% | +3.4 | 85.8 | -2.6° | 0 |
| Sweeper | 49 | 13.8% | -3.8 | 76.3 | 22.9° | 0 |
| Cutter | 39 | 11.0% | -1.6 | 78.4 | 22.7° | 0 |
All Scored Matchups
| Date | Batter | Rank | Score | Tier | Form | HR? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Nick Gonzales | #236 | 22 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Jared Triolo | #233 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Henry Davis | #230 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Joey Bart | #224 | 26 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Spencer Horwitz | #212 | 32 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Tommy Pham | #203 | 27 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Andrew McCutchen | #184 | 28 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Bryan Reynolds | #132 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-07 | Oneil Cruz | #77 | 41 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Patrick Bailey | #231 | 25 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Jung Hoo Lee | #230 | 27 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Tyler Fitzgerald | #224 | 25 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Dominic Smith | #212 | 27 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Wilmer Flores | #187 | 29 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Heliot Ramos | #179 | 33 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Casey Schmitt | #178 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Matt Chapman | #151 | 40 | ⚪ D | ➖ NTRL | · |
| 2026-04-01 | Willy Adames | #145 | 42 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Gleyber Torres | #129 | 33 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Zach McKinstry | #121 | 36 | ⚪ D | 🔥 HOT | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Javier Baez | #119 | 31 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Colt Keith | #116 | 36 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Wenceel Perez | #111 | 39 | ⚪ D | ❄ COLD | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Dillon Dingler | #108 | 35 | ⚪ D | 📈 WARM | 💥 |
| 2026-03-26 | Spencer Torkelson | #80 | 46 | ⚪ D | 📉 COOL | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Kerry Carpenter | #70 | 49 | ⚪ D | · — | · |
| 2026-03-26 | Riley Greene | #38 | 51 | 🟠 C | 📈 WARM | · |